Yellowish-Watch
0x03ca26c4883d617f4b9a5c5dfe9631a590cc34e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$16.87
Total PnL
$2.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
14 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$13.75
$2.75
- YES
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.00Apr 22, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 3, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?$1.11Apr 3, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 1, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Apr 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?$1.00Apr 1, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.01Apr 1, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$1.01Apr 1, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.00Apr 1, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$9.10Mar 26, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.25Mar 26, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$1.00Mar 24, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 00:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.