0x044a98bef6e4404faf8c6c0023be92de030c4214
0x044a98bef6e4404faf8c6c0023be92de030c4214
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.99
Total PnL
$-4.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.99
$-0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 6AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 26?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by June 30?$4.16Jun 2, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.18Jun 2, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.99May 7, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$4.13May 7, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$3.39Apr 24, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$1.00Mar 26, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 26?$1.00Mar 26, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.08Mar 26, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$0.77Mar 20, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 20?$0.09Mar 20, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.00Mar 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 20?$1.00Mar 20, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 6AM ET$1.00Mar 20, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$1.00Mar 20, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$4.61Mar 20, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$4.00Mar 19, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$4.92Mar 19, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$3.00Mar 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 24, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 23:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.