Glorious-Warrior
0x044e852ad3399ea51e8e177b1292b68cbf259599
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$17.85
Total PnL
$-17.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.99
$0.04
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.95
$0.02
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.66
$-0.01
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.66
$-0.01
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.59
$0.06
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
7777 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
4445 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
3989 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
3631 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
3327 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$4.95May 31, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$4.67May 25, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$4.93May 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$4.97May 14, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.90May 14, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$4.97May 14, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.00May 14, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-09?$5.00May 14, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?$4.25May 9, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-09?$4.55May 9, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellien$5.00May 9, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.53May 5, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.66May 4, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellien$4.00May 4, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Stan Wawrinka$4.40May 4, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$7.78May 4, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.25May 4, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.16Feb 1, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$7.08Jan 29, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.0KJan 29, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $286.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 08:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".