Considerate-Interpreter
0x045cd8e01b05b865843a8df13784add60fdd5861
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$362.43
Total PnL
$-765.22
Realised
$-21.46
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
145 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$79.03
$-2.18
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in July?
93 shares @ 53.9¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$58.88
$8.88
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
70 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.15
$-0.35
- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in July?
53 shares @ 48.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$36.56
$11.12
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 32.3¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.18
$6.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
48 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$27.12
$1.68
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$26.54
$1.52
- NO
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $74 Week of July 13 2026?
40 shares @ 57.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$12.20
$-10.60
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
25 shares @ 33.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.63
$3.38
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14?
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$10.20
$2.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.16Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14?$7.50Jul 13, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMCroatia Open: Vit Kopriva vs Dino Prizmic$27.40Jul 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$8.25Jul 13, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in July?$25.97Jul 13, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMCroatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche$14.40Jul 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Broady (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5)$1.96Jul 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Broady (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5)$0.59Jul 13, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Broady (-1.5) vs Vukic (+1.5)$3.82Jul 13, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche$7.68Jul 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGranby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Liam Broady$7.66Jul 13, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMSwiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov$28.06Jul 13, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMSwedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas$11.11Jul 13, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMIasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo$12.82Jul 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia Open: Vit Kopriva vs Dino Prizmic$20.27Jul 13, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMSwedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel$20.00Jul 13, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov$7.68Jul 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov$7.67Jul 13, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMSwiss Open: Clement Tabur vs Jurij Rodionov$12.71Jul 13, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $14.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 23:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.