Caring-Halfsister
0x04befc9fb5be68c8729e5adc71ec0af4d14e14a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$29.06
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 91.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Won Chang-muk win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$1.00May 25, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Song Gi-heon win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$1.00May 25, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$1.00May 25, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Do-kyun win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$1.00May 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Wan-seop win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$1.00May 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.00May 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.00May 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.00May 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$1.00May 25, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$1.00May 25, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$2.00May 25, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.00May 25, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.03May 25, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1.03May 25, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by March 31?$1.04May 25, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMRussian strike on a NATO member by March 31?$1.05May 25, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robinhood say "Billion" 10+ times during earnings call?$1.06May 25, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.10May 25, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$1.20May 25, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?$1.00Feb 7, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.