Carefree-Pest
0x04ddb65764f50ccfcf5f1d16bf00b412cfdea511
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$9.87
Total PnL
$-48.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
House passes Iran war powers resolution this week?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$5.00
$0.25
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.87
$2.17
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
211 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will TOSHI reach $1b first?
75 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
19 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?
15 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.08
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$4.20Mar 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$2.70Mar 16, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Iran war powers resolution this week?$4.75Feb 25, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.49Feb 19, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?$10.14Feb 19, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 18, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.00Feb 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$3.05Feb 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?$8.52Feb 13, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$2.50Feb 13, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?$13.51Feb 13, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$1.00Feb 13, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?$4.00Feb 8, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?$5.00Feb 8, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?$12.08Feb 8, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$19.51Jan 24, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?$7.58Jan 21, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 04:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.