Menacing-Trade
0x04ff22d6607f59d3db7e9e68c4f482aa6cf48ff5
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$32.84
Total PnL
$-0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
16 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$15.85
$-0.05
- NO
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$11.49
$-0.01
- NO
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.49
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$5.50May 18, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$11.50May 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ekaterina Alexandrova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$15.90May 16, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$3.69May 9, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$11.98May 9, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$13.18May 9, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$3.70May 8, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$12.00May 7, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$13.20May 4, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.89May 1, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.00May 1, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$17.51May 1, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?$3.90Apr 29, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.00Apr 26, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$17.50Apr 22, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?$11.78Apr 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?$11.80Apr 16, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Apr 16, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.00Apr 16, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$3.09Mar 31, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".