Kosher-Student
0x050931c34e12a870536f047e5716090b33924ed7
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$165.78
Total PnL
$-2.03
Realised
$0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
50 shares @ 97.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$48.38
$-0.23
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
50 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.88
$0.02
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
50 shares @ 94.6¢·now 90.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$45.17
$-2.13
- NO
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
13 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.30
$0.01
- NO
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
12 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$12.05
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$7.90Jul 22, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$29.94Jul 22, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?$12.29Jul 22, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$47.85Jul 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$2.40Jun 23, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$45.55Jun 23, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$47.30Jun 20, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$47.70Jun 16, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLAny US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?$48.45Jun 4, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$47.90Jun 3, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$48.60Jun 1, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$42.45May 30, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.40May 30, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.16May 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.55May 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.23May 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.09May 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.94May 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?$43.16May 28, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$30.26May 27, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $31.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.