Vigorous-Fraud
0x050a3ecfc0bb3a860235daae3b82263a0235cb07
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.84
Total PnL
$-22.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 37.3¢·now 29.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Trump's remarks not air?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 16?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
3 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 10, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00Jun 10, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.39Jun 10, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$2.00May 6, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$1.03Apr 30, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$1.03Apr 30, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.00Apr 27, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$2.11Apr 27, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?$1.00Apr 25, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$2.00Apr 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 19, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy" or "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$1.20Apr 17, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Waitress" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$1.36Apr 17, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 16, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$2.11Apr 16, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waitress" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$1.00Apr 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$1.00Apr 16, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 6+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26?$0.00Mar 27, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26?$0.00Mar 27, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.