Proud-Suede
0x0523e4ea78f068e7e7ef59b343f2e2ee2bf3a3ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$99.14
Total PnL
$-33.50
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.91
$0.10
- NO
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.77
$0.77
- NO
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
8 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.72
$0.72
- WALCZAKI
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
8 shares @ 91.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$7.66
$0.66
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$7.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
8 shares @ 93.3¢·now 86.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.47
$-0.53
- NO
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
6 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.36
$-0.64
- ENCE
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$5.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.