Far-Off-Cheesecake
0x057c637a4e2d28b764148c59d11c45be0aa7a65f
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.32
Total PnL
$-620.69
Realised
$-6.88
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.32
$-0.68
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.44
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
75 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
75 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$110.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $0.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.