Vital-Prior
0x05a5c24829d3b18e2410b9ea231467c7dc921a58
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-0.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
2528 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?
2381 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-304.99
- NO
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
1342 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
600 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-73.00
- NO
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
114 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$100.00Jul 20, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$300.00Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$200.00Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$75.75May 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$20.64May 14, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$100.00May 11, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$23.00May 8, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$66.90May 2, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$39.95Apr 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$42.00Apr 24, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$4.33Apr 19, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.83Apr 19, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$8.65Apr 19, 01:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$40.19Apr 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$83.00Apr 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$62.00Apr 17, 13:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 16, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $29.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.