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PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires May 7, 2026

Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.9pp

24h Vol

$1.2K

Liquidity

$26.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

-7.7pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 277.3h

    LOW
  • 10:44Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 277h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 3.7pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.7pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.2pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.4pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same event2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner
Category · Politics

Market Description

United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils in the 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant council seat elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 7, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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