0x05a65b7db28ff27ad4e83dad6662f796cf366c7f
0x05a65b7db28ff27ad4e83dad6662f796cf366c7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$34.21
Total PnL
$2.24
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
16 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.26
$12.52
- NO
Ben Pasternak jailed?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.34
$0.84
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.49
$0.05
- NO
Databricks IPO before 2027?
3 shares @ 70.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.44
$0.49
- YES
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
10 shares @ 77.5¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.35
$-5.59
- NO
Ramp IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$0.03
- YES
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
2 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.83
$0.16
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.68
$0.03
- NO
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
1 shares @ 62.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$0.23
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$2.15Jun 30, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$2.40Jun 30, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.66Jun 21, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$1.81Jun 20, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$2.06Jun 14, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.08Jun 14, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.04Jun 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.35Jun 13, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.08Jun 11, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.09Jun 11, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.23Jun 11, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.10Jun 11, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.06Jun 11, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.14Jun 11, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.10Jun 11, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.02Jun 11, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.40Jun 11, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.06Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.02Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.73Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.