Thorough-Rethinking
0x05bc63bb3fc76e4e740cd8bd6636eaa977db5253
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$680.65
Total PnL
$-4.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
277 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$276.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
156 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$155.54
$0.54
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
140 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$134.65
$-0.35
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
116 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.60
$-0.40
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
149 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$277.011d ago
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$114.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$155.021d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$44.671d ago
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$71.141d ago
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$119.381d ago
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$130.251d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?$170.681d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?$170.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$44.0017d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$243.2317d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$243.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$118.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$130.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$70.0032d ago
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$60.0032d ago
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$188.7532d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$228.4632d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$228.0056d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$59.2256d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $170.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 157d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".