Confused-Dead
0x05ddbe2edc2fcb293eb149028f45e93cec14305c
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-120.38
Realised
$-37.71
Win rate
38%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
1278 shares @ 90.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$21.70
- YES
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
422 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$421.13
$11.13
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
155 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$154.64
$0.54
- YES
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
166 shares @ 54.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$151.91
$61.11
- YES
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$120.00
$0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
120 shares @ 83.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$114.21
$14.21
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
114 shares @ 93.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$111.27
$5.41
- NO
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
144 shares @ 69.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.89
$2.88
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
122 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.52
$-2.58
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
199 shares @ 50.2¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.49
$1.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$11.57Jun 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$0.13Jun 18, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$5.07Jun 18, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$11.26Jun 18, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$0.13Jun 18, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$3.77Jun 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$9.10Jun 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.15Jun 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.07Jun 18, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$18.37Jun 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.03Jun 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$2.99Jun 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$2.99Jun 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?$1.00Jun 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?$0.52Jun 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$6.79Jun 18, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$57.83Jun 18, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?$2.61Jun 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$0.15Jun 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$4.97Jun 18, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.