Sizzling-Redirect
0x05eb5525120d1da2ed839495edcc7aac4dbc93bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.79
Realised
$0.11
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 11, 2026?
454 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 13?
146 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 10?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?
49 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?$2.14Jul 11, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 12?$1.07Jul 11, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$0.77Jul 11, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$2.54Jul 11, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 13?$3.11Jul 11, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13?$5.31Jul 11, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?$0.21Jul 11, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$3.14Jul 10, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$0.00Jul 10, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?$5.20Jul 10, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jul 10, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$2.03Jul 10, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$4.00Jul 10, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$2.03Jul 9, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.05Jul 9, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?$1.97Jul 9, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1.03Jul 9, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$1.00Jul 9, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$1.00Jul 9, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?$1.04Jul 9, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 04:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.