International-Skullduggery
0x05f0f7aa38368e425f7a42f2ef73a25766e9fc39
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
2000 shares @ 30.5¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$449.99
$-159.99
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
450 shares @ 79.5¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$301.50
$-56.50
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$165.00
$-15.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
300 shares @ 11.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.50
$100.50
- YES
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
2952 shares @ 10.7¢·now 2.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$81.17
$-235.98
- NO
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
2250 shares @ 16.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$75.37
$-299.62
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
400 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$70.00
$14.00
- YES
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
100 shares @ 64.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$66.49
$2.00
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$55.50
$-6.50
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$50.80
$-1.20
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.22Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$24.50Jul 27, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$0.49Jul 27, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$0.49Jul 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$165.00Jul 27, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$55.48Jul 27, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$56.00Jul 27, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$512.79Jul 27, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$86.85Jul 27, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$93.58Jul 27, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$93.58Jul 27, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$182.00Jul 27, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.76Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.02Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$4.96Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$174.23Jul 24, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $101.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.