0x06071232613ada4e4d0d59565a5640ba37a3e0e3
0x06071232613ada4e4d0d59565a5640ba37a3e0e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$25.31
Total PnL
$-12.21
Realised
$-9.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$11.70
$-0.90
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$7.10
$0.30
- NO
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?
7 shares @ 64.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$4.03
$-0.62
- NO
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$1.12
$-0.50
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah join Galatasaray?
10 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.2¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$0.70
$-0.13
- YES
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?
3 shares @ 53.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$0.66
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$6.80Jul 4, 00:23 UTC
- REWARD$1.25Jul 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$3.00Jul 3, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah join Galatasaray?$0.83Jul 3, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$6.00Jul 3, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$7.80Jul 3, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$8.60Jul 3, 02:53 UTC
- REWARD$1.02Jul 3, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.43Jul 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?$12.60Jul 1, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?$5.81Jun 30, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?$5.55Jun 30, 05:25 UTC
- REWARD$4.61Jun 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?$5.39Jun 29, 18:54 UTC
- REWARD$2.80Jun 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?$0.28Jun 28, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?$12.80Jun 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?$6.75Jun 28, 09:26 UTC
- REWARD$3.85Jun 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GamerLegion make a roster change before August?$11.80Jun 27, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.