Better-Recorder
0x06122c3506c411e8ca15a12100d7f738b855559a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-468.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
296 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$282.68
$45.88
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
298 shares @ 78.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$282.21
$49.77
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
264 shares @ 62.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$259.38
$95.70
- NO
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
303 shares @ 81.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$253.00
$7.57
- YES
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
289 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$238.43
$-1.44
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
296 shares @ 44.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$216.08
$85.84
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
218 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$209.06
$17.22
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
470 shares @ 42.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$185.65
$-11.75
- OVER
Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
351 shares @ 49.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$182.52
$10.53
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
216 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$182.51
$5.40
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.60Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$99.00Jul 30, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$18.56Jul 30, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$10.84Jul 30, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$63.96Jul 30, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5$56.43Jul 30, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage$47.99Jul 30, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group$84.29Jul 30, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$210.00Jul 30, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$469.00Jul 30, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)$24.44Jul 30, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$247.30Jul 30, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)$5.32Jul 30, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$105.52Jul 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner$285.48Jul 30, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$108.36Jul 30, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?$92.95Jul 30, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$94.68Jul 30, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves$207.42Jul 30, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$87.23Jul 30, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $72.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.