Pitiful-Facelift
0x0642d922d59891626e035d210779f51d4ad5e159
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$58.51
Total PnL
$3.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?
19 shares @ 98.8¢·now 96.4¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$18.54
$-0.46
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 8?
11 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$11.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
9 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.25
$0.25
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 67.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.42
$2.42
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 79.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.29
$1.29
- NO
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$119.11Jul 8, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$119.03Jul 8, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.05Jul 8, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.05Jul 8, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.0KJun 27, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.0KJun 25, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$5.04Jun 25, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?$19.01Jun 25, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$9.01May 7, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.04May 7, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.5KMay 7, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.5KMay 7, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 8?$11.00May 7, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.5KMay 4, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.5KMay 4, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.00Jan 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$109.54Jan 18, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$0.00Jan 18, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$5.14Jan 18, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMGlobal heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?$25.75Jan 18, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $344.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.