Several-Pass
0x06dc9dd6c0eb19f8e537e74ab40f851180e8ba00
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$355.88
Total PnL
$-774.56
Realised
$1.20
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
131 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$128.53
$-1.11
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
111 shares @ 75.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$97.68
$14.43
- NO
Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026?
67 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$65.15
$6.41
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
55 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.93
$0.30
- NO
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.60
$-5.40
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
8829 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.49
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
878 shares @ 71.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-626.63
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?
295 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-136.96
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$1.96Jul 25, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$1.71Jul 25, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$8.00Jul 24, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$2.30Jul 24, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$0.63Jul 24, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$1.40Jul 24, 16:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.49Jul 23, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$37.52Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$22.46Jul 22, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$22.00Jul 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$19.50Jul 22, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$7.21Jul 22, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.04Jul 22, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.33Jul 22, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.95Jul 22, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$39.00Jul 22, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$148.18Jul 22, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$180.00Jul 22, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$42.00Jul 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$96.00Jul 22, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $43.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.