Adventurous-Sentence
0x06ecb7e739f5455922ce57e83284f132c7f0f845
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
181
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$13.4K
Win rate
83%
65 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 181- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
4543 shares @ 85.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$428.79
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
1038 shares @ 57.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$524.26
$-75.21
- NO
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
300 shares @ 65.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$300.00
$103.56
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
274 shares @ 7.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$274.38
$252.61
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
228 shares @ 52.6¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$115.35
$-4.82
- YES
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2664 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$91.90
$-17.31
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
80 shares @ 97.3¢·now 92.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$74.42
$-3.74
- NO
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
27 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$26.42
$0.32
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
149 shares @ 6.0¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.55
$9.61
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
18 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$17.46
$0.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 65 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
65 closed markets, 83% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 65 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.