Hopeful-Celeriac
0x0726afe07cf6e650f43193f9f90d1f03fbef369c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3467 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$629.28
$178.56
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1090 shares @ 36.4¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$490.50
$93.25
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2870 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$477.86
$18.66
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1111 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.82
$-16.66
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
1100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$236.50
$-181.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
820 shares @ 24.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.50
$-12.73
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6800 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$153.00
$-105.22
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
600 shares @ 35.8¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.00
$-89.09
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
260 shares @ 38.6¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.20
$-4.26
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
300 shares @ 32.1¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.00
$-12.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$16.02May 14, 21:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$3.90May 13, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$0.78May 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$30.42May 13, 02:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$49.34May 12, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$99.64May 12, 05:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 5, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $33.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".