Golden-Polarisation
0x0741d2043f7d9245c65bf4eb363307061247ec5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$19.20
Total PnL
$-1.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.58
$0.58
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 67.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.48
$0.48
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.00Feb 12, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Jan 22, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 6, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Dec 25, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Dec 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$1.00Dec 11, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.00Nov 21, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$1.00Nov 7, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$1.00Oct 30, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?$1.00Oct 23, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?$1.10Oct 10, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$1.12Oct 10, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMMLS: Will Chicago beat St. Louis City?$1.59Oct 10, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 10, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 25, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".