Shoddy-Community
0x0745ade57d00df793ac60225d773126896c84a1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$48.86
Realised
$32.57
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
682 shares @ 45.6¢·now 47.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$320.57
$9.57
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
812 shares @ 34.6¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$315.51
$34.82
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
624 shares @ 37.1¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.90
$-0.56
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
808 shares @ 14.1¢·now 21.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$173.28
$59.13
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
144 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$117.69
$-0.31
- NO
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
499 shares @ 25.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$107.19
$-17.81
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
509 shares @ 18.6¢·now 20.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$103.05
$8.27
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
411 shares @ 19.4¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$74.92
$-4.76
- YES
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
106 shares @ 56.5¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$64.75
$4.75
- NO
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
155 shares @ 18.4¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.64
$32.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$3.00Jul 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$3.00Jul 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62.06Jul 12, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.83Jul 12, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.24Jul 12, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.98Jul 12, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.28Jul 12, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$175.34Jul 12, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.41Jul 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.52Jul 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.56Jul 12, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.08Jul 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.98Jul 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$23.74Jul 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$20.16Jul 12, 02:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$30.63Jul 11, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$20.62Jul 11, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.49Jul 11, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.08Jul 11, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.