Costly-Bunch
0x078ac6609e1188370c50f5f8f37708033654ca98
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$2.05
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- NO
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
10370 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.37
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 580 and 599 times September 5–12?
9877 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-9.88
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600 or more times September 5–12?
4380 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.38
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Lakers
806 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- BULLS
Timberwolves vs. Bulls
171 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- ROCKETS
Pistons vs. Rockets
150 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-103.49
- TWINS
Twins vs. Royals
147 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Nuggets
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 23, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 22, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 21, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.35May 1, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.80 in April?$1.20May 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.03May 1, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?$11.01May 1, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?$11.00Apr 30, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in April?$1.20Apr 29, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.00Apr 28, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?$1.69Apr 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.33Apr 26, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.00Apr 26, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?$1.67Apr 25, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.01Apr 25, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.40 on April 18?$1.01Apr 25, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$2.01Apr 25, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?$2.01Apr 25, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ducks (-2.5)$4.53Apr 25, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$2.00Apr 19, 16:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 04:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".