Elementary-Palace
0x086f5e1b4644cfe0afb78c6f915a6bd14e848bc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$96.04
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$481.90
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
41 shares @ 44.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$36.07
$18.14
- YES
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
20 shares @ 33.0¢·now 89.2¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$17.84
$11.24
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
15 shares @ 78.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
25 shares @ 14.8¢·now 29.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$7.36
$3.70
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
7 shares @ 63.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.19
$1.00
- YES
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
25 shares @ 31.1¢·now 17.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.38
$-3.30
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.05
$-0.25
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
8 shares @ 44.5¢·now 31.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$2.61
$-1.09
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.00
$0.55
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.75
$0.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 9, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$6.00May 9, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.00May 9, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMNebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers$7.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Perú Rejects vs Team Sangre (BO3)$7.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMSvitolina vs. Boulter: Match O/U 22.5$8.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Sharks$9.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Aurora vs Rune Eaters (BO3)$10.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Nets: O/U 212.5$10.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner$10.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMDEL: ERC Ingolstadt vs. Koelner Haie$10.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMMuller vs. Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5$10.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMArkansas Razorbacks vs. Auburn Tigers$10.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMAHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Charlotte Checkers$10.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina Tar Heels$11.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMEala vs. Wang: Total Sets O/U 2.5$13.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMLSU Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores$0.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMLSU Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores$14.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 105.5$15.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5$15.00Mar 26, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".