Fatal-Millstone
0x08819d34c03c487a0ea86c483dbbffd3147176c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$268.31
Total PnL
$-1.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?
53 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.69
$0.34
- NO
Will North America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
51 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$49.80
$-0.03
- NO
Will Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
51 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$49.70
$-0.28
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
53 shares @ 95.9¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.40
$-1.43
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
51 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.88
$0.03
- NO
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.83
$0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill North America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.83May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?$48.86May 15, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$50.93May 11, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$51.01May 11, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$50.91May 10, 15:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.60May 9, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.00May 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.94May 9, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$33.10May 9, 18:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$49.98May 8, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$50.83May 8, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?$15.68May 8, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?$34.67May 8, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$50.60May 8, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$50.83May 8, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?$19.56Apr 10, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $35.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".