Gruesome-Allergist
0x089aa1b565014f140e3a7620276f92fbd475d7cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.09
Total PnL
$-45.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.64
$-5.36
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
14 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Fox News interview?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel military response against Iran in October?
7 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$10.00Jan 5, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Oct 17, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$57.89Oct 17, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$10.00Apr 12, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$22.00Mar 3, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$1.00Oct 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$1.00Oct 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRobert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?$2.00Oct 17, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran in October?$2.00Oct 16, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Fox News interview? $5.00Oct 16, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$9.00Oct 16, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$10.00Oct 15, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$85.00Oct 15, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $13.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 19:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".