Infinite-Contagion
0x08d07294eb8eec2e06bd371d1f0bfb319e125b9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
1025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
6 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jul 19, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$10.53Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$3.11Jul 15, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.44Jul 15, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.08Jul 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09Jul 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$1.03Jun 16, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-16?$1.03Jun 16, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$1.03Jun 16, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?$1.02Jun 16, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$1.02Jun 16, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$2.02Jun 15, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$2.03Jun 15, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 14, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 14, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 14, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$1.03Jun 14, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$5.56Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$3.17Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 14, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.