Wallet digest

active

Activity score

61/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$11.80

Total PnL

$-12.13

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 12

YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
6 shares @ 90.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$5.54
$0.54
NO
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$5.18
$0.18
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$1.09
$0.09
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
1025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
6 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026
$0.00
$-1.98
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$0.00
$-0.99
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$0.00
$-0.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-0.99

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 15:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 15:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Feb 10, 07:51 UTC
TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 07:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.24Feb 9, 15:39 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.26Feb 6, 08:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.00Feb 6, 08:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 08:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 08:10 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.86Feb 6, 08:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 08:09 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.20Feb 6, 08:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.22Feb 6, 08:08 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$2.42Feb 6, 08:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 08:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 08:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 07:53 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.22Feb 6, 07:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 07:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.34Feb 6, 07:50 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry33 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk54 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 41
Avg trade size: $1.18
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 1, 22:37 UTC
Last active: Feb 22, 15:13 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:57:28 UTC·src:Polymarket Data