Frivolous-Walnut
0x08d49f9b709b2aabf0644a78b5e303c76fc01f2d
Quality score
73/100
Open positions
15
Open notional
$52.76
Total PnL
$-8.13
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.68
$-0.12
- NO
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?
6 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$5.49
$0.04
- NO
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
6 shares @ 89.5¢·now 84.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$5.12
$-0.32
- NO
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.65
$-0.35
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 86.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.58
$-0.42
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.52
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$4.32
$0.34
- NO
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
4 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$4.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?$4.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.007d ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$4.507d ago
- REDEEMWill Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.839d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.7513d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$5.8018d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.7820d ago
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$1.7921d ago
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.8123d ago
- REDEEMKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$2.0223d ago
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$3.1923d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2.0024d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?$5.4526d ago
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$3.0026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$5.4427d ago
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$0.7229d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$0.8030d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.2630d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 22?$5.0033d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $315.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 36d ago
- Last active
- 3d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.