Unwitting-Applause-Fatigue
0x08ee10b275a043a5ced0acbe81f02acfd523201e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$51.98
Total PnL
$27.83
Realised
$23.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. SC Delhi end in a draw?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$22.00
$2.20
- NO
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?
18 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$18.00
$1.44
- NO
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.00
$0.66
- NO
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
1 shares @ 92.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.98
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-07?$10.36Jun 7, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?$16.60May 30, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs. SC Delhi end in a draw?$19.86May 21, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$0.00May 21, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$2.00May 21, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-10?$0.00May 21, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-10?$18.83May 10, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?$18.00Mar 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$1.4KMar 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$1.4KMar 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$87.51Mar 17, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.4KMar 17, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$246.32Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.2KMar 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.41Mar 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$30.18Mar 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$46.76Mar 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$98.19Mar 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.81Mar 17, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.79Mar 17, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $567.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 06:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.