Leading-Retrospect
0x08fac382d5b442e8013b73b1353251acf0d63271
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$-146.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.21
$-65.79
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 10.8¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.51
$5.51
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 22.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.17
$-4.83
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.09
$-1.91
- YES
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.02
$-2.98
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 3?
715 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
394 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".