Wavy-Management
0x0919d213f0138c6e7f8e9b7c2d56c0598064a812
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$592.63
Total PnL
$276.79
Realised
$-5.84
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
374 shares @ 10.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$373.83
$333.83
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$104.17
$54.17
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$86.21
$36.21
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.42
$8.42
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?
141 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
126 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
51 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $28.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 04:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.