Mean-Archrival-Indigence
0x097906ffc8a85dc7651c78b6d324cdb0b78dbf02
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$22.06
Total PnL
$-4.59
Realised
$-2.31
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
29 shares @ 12.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.94
$0.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 8?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$3.33
$1.33
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
17 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$-0.09
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 8?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 8?
1 shares @ 73.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.36
$0.36
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 7?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 12?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 8?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 8?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.19
$0.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.67Jun 23, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$0.28Jun 23, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?$0.18Jun 22, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?$0.26Jun 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.40Jun 22, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?$0.10Jun 22, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$0.04Jun 22, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$0.00Jun 22, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$0.00Jun 22, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$0.00Jun 22, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.31Jun 22, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$0.00Jun 22, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$0.00Jun 22, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$1.19Jun 22, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$1.04Jun 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.30Jun 21, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.90Jun 21, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$2.68Jun 21, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.02Jun 21, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.02Jun 21, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.