Careless-Initialize
0x09f2db95ffb009fc0dbdf29c640a7483f6981ef9
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$92.48
Total PnL
$-98.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
59 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on May 31?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.81
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on June 1?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.61
$0.01
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
2349 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?
1600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?
1392 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?
1244 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 6?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 20?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$59.00Jun 1, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs$4.65Jun 1, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$63.06Jun 1, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$63.00May 31, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs$3.46May 31, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on June 1?$10.60May 31, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$3.42May 30, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?$1.60May 30, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$4.28May 30, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?$1.50May 30, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$5.00May 30, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on May 31?$10.80May 30, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$104.10May 30, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$104.01May 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$12.10May 28, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$116.12May 28, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$116.01May 27, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?$109.88May 27, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs$5.05May 27, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?$110.00May 27, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $64.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.