Whimsical-Porcupine
0x0a556827813f7589f95c4e9037d16552a7fa1d25
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$-195.84
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
5099 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
4541 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-999.00
- GAMERLEGION
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs
3726 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-384.99
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
3055 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-947.05
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
2565 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- SPIRIT
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
1298 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-333.00
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
1154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
1111 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-377.74
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
1000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$156.52Jul 26, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$935.00Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$520.20Jul 19, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$51.18Jul 19, 18:09 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$50.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMOver $25M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.2KJul 15, 05:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$7.36Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$82.29Jul 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$343.49Jul 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$343.41Jul 14, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$342.78Jul 14, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$342.28Jul 14, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$342.32Jul 14, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$342.49Jul 14, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?$177.05Jul 14, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.5KJul 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.7KJul 14, 12:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the Credible public sale?$297.66Jul 13, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $541.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.