0x0a67e88e62e78b6e01914af0bdfd29e8c3f63b99
0x0a67e88e62e78b6e01914af0bdfd29e8c3f63b99
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$9.08
Total PnL
$-0.93
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 53.4¢·now 47.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.78
$-0.22
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- NO
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.02
$0.02
- SPACEX
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 55.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?$1.11Jul 7, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.00Jun 22, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$2.04Jun 17, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$1.02Jun 14, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$1.02Jun 14, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$0.00Jun 14, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$0.00Jun 14, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$1.01Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$1.02Jun 13, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.05Jun 8, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.09Jun 8, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.01Jun 7, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.01Jun 7, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.05Jun 7, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.33Jun 7, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?$1.01Jun 6, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.01Jun 6, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.01Jun 6, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?$1.01Jun 3, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$1.01Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.