Murky-Sleepiness
0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$199.5K
Total PnL
$-650.2K
Realised
$-125.0K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1056379 shares @ 23.5¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$174.3K
$-73.9K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2200087 shares @ 10.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.1K
$-206.7K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
268915 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$941.20
$-19.8K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
40000 shares @ 8.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$900.00
$-2.5K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
12500 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$267.50
$-1.5K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
789160 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-151.9K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
550988 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.1K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
200012 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.6K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
18158 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-363.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.3KJun 11, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$445.00Jun 11, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$677.38Jun 11, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$928.51Jun 11, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$916.42Jun 10, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$360.00Jun 10, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$3.77Jun 10, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.35Jun 10, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.11Jun 9, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$2.70Jun 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$7.20Jun 9, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$2.00Jun 9, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.70Jun 9, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.31Jun 9, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$296.40Jun 9, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.05Jun 9, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$39.87Jun 9, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$305.81Jun 9, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$364.79Jun 9, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$693.61Jun 9, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $401.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.