Pertinent-Pith
0x0a916b3cc35751d14cfcd91baec9669043680776
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$23.63
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$-252.03
Win rate
14%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
51 shares @ 30.7¢·now 30.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.38
$-0.31
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
17 shares @ 17.0¢·now 34.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.00
$3.06
- YES
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 87.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.18
$-23.07
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.08
$-4.96
- EINTRACHT SPANDAU
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
1380 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-331.26
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14?
1155 shares @ 77.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- ALEXANDER BLOCKX
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev
1000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?
980 shares @ 91.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- YES
Will Natus Vincere reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
906 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-190.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$23.07Jul 10, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.00Jul 10, 00:03 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.19Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.19Jul 9, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.58Jul 6, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$1.27Jul 3, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$1.38Jul 3, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?$0.98Jul 2, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?$1.05Jul 2, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$8.28Jun 26, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$867.82Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$51.67Jun 25, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wilson Isidor score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.39Jun 25, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$6.00Jun 25, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$7.01Jun 25, 01:44 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.05Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.33Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.56Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$24.00Jun 20, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.06Jun 20, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $55.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.