Hasty-Frenzy
0x0b04c5d8be3f2cb04acfbfbaef5a69d51cb430fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$56.00
Total PnL
$3.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Cerro Porteño win Copa Libertadores?
99 shares @ 0.8¢·now 12.4¢·exp Dec 12, 2026$12.27
$11.47
- NO
Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.94
$1.39
- NO
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$1.00
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.77
$-0.82
- YES
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.38
$-1.17
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.26
$1.26
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
53 shares @ 0.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$1.93
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$1.65
$1.10
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.55
$1.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$5.00Jul 24, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$67.00Jul 20, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$1.30Jul 16, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$1.22Jul 9, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$5.27Jul 9, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$3.45Jul 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?$1.01Jul 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?$0.35Jul 3, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$1.03Jul 2, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$1.03Jul 2, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$1.01Jul 2, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Colombia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.05Jul 2, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.55Jul 2, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?$0.50Jul 2, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.86Jul 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in June?$0.30Jul 2, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.60Jul 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$0.04Jul 2, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$0.55Jul 2, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Colombia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.25Jul 2, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 17:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.