Submissive-Ramen
0x0b18a8d6197d0210211adc2600a257aedab2e6bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-9.9K
Realised
$-38.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
29658 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$430.03
$-341.06
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
625 shares @ 32.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$271.88
$71.88
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
395 shares @ 25.3¢·now 36.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$145.43
$45.57
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2118 shares @ 6.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$74.98
$-65.02
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2222 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$61.10
$21.10
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4517 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$60.99
$-106.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7041 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$52.80
$4.28
- YES
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
7634 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$26.72
$-18.28
- YES
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
9154 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$13.73
$-11.26
- YES
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
4339 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.51
$-27.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.