Curvy-Accessory
0x0b31e0e67661f5599095741acea0593a634979a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$165.78
Total PnL
$-34.13
Realised
$-11.88
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
123 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.78
$9.22
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
52 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$52.00
$1.04
- YES
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2908 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.72
- YES
Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?
2325 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.98
- YES
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
830 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
375 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
143 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.57
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
13 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-11.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$9.07Jun 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$51.00Jun 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$35.01Apr 8, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?$104.55Mar 31, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$51.33Mar 31, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$104.65Mar 31, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$83.00Dec 31, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$90.00Dec 13, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$50.00Dec 13, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$54.00Dec 13, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$148.00Dec 13, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$52.92Oct 29, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$13.20Oct 29, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$19.80Oct 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$45.25Oct 28, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$17.28Oct 28, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$32.74Sep 16, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$11.52Sep 16, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?$3.32Aug 30, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$113.97Aug 30, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $25.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 02:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.