Legitimate-Tornado
0x0b34b69b3acfcf19e589179e0c5894f78261f5a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$12.6K
Total PnL
$-849.74
Realised
$254.76
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
5610 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.8K
$-59.14
- YES
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?
4060 shares @ 93.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.7K
$-1.1K
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
2913 shares @ 35.7¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$708.73
- NO
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
1793 shares @ 59.3¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$370.25
- NO
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by August 31, 2026?
1266 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.2K
$-8.74
- YES
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
912 shares @ 26.6¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$601.72
$359.12
- YES
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
764 shares @ 50.3¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$278.82
$-105.52
- YES
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of July?
296 shares @ 79.1¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$243.25
$8.83
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
172 shares @ 73.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$155.05
$28.68
- YES
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?
1367 shares @ 63.6¢·now 9.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$129.17
$-740.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?$135.00Jul 28, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of July?$89.69Jul 26, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?$123.97Jul 26, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$27.94Jul 25, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$450.00Jul 25, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$71.19Jul 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of July?$17.02Jul 25, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$20.74Jul 25, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$12.84Jul 25, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?$283.11Jul 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$69.34Jul 25, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?$4.1KJul 25, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$145.00Jul 25, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$425.43Jul 24, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$14.56Jul 24, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$46.98Jul 24, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $100 end of July?$35.71Jul 24, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$16.49Jul 23, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$12.25Jul 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$421.96Jul 23, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $82.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 07:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.