Failing-Rancher
0x0b3f27ebead034b2320b0d35bf5af98d3a8232b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$44.31
Total PnL
$-16.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.23
$9.23
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
17 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$17.46
$6.46
- YES
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
12 shares @ 84.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.62
$-2.38
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$10.00May 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$11.16May 7, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $250M one day after launch?$10.11May 7, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.17May 7, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMBillions FDV above $500M one day after launch?$28.90May 7, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $500M one day after launch?$25.24May 4, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$27.94May 4, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$19.00Apr 27, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$19.35Apr 27, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$12.00Apr 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.24Apr 11, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$4.86Apr 11, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 11, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$13.79Apr 11, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$26.83Apr 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$22.00Feb 7, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$15.05Feb 7, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$12.00Jan 18, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$14.00Jan 18, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $14.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.