Red-Monotheism
0x0b97c6b3e2eedcf896b0d2c8d9b8a9caa0390efe
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-11.8K
Realised
$48.19
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
1000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$740.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
881 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$639.02
$-39.66
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
540 shares @ 45.1¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$388.80
$145.39
- YES
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
1200 shares @ 29.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$294.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
100 shares @ 59.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$90.00
$31.00
- NO
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
27 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$26.83
$1.55
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.89
$0.63
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2000 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$-414.00
- UNDER
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 3.5 Corners
2150 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)$18.73Aug 9, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)$135.31Aug 9, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)$1.04Aug 9, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)$1.04Aug 9, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5)$52.95Aug 9, 19:01 UTC
- REWARD$5.08Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?$750.00Aug 5, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?$518.16Aug 1, 18:19 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.14Aug 1, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$557.19Jul 31, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$357.00Jul 31, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$40.66Jul 31, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$684.93Jul 31, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$500.00Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$3.00Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.50Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.00Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.25Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.50Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.25Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $138.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.