Quick-Bloom
0x0b9d9c3bb66645c0fe62e9d496f5f07cae058201
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-22.2K
Realised
$-104.00
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
2000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$1000.00
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
1000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$996.00
$416.00
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
659 shares @ 66.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$577.04
$137.80
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
927 shares @ 18.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$106.62
$-65.26
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.22
$1.91
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
20431 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
13797 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.1K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
12367 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.4K
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
5907 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.25Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.2KJul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.09Jul 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.91Jul 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.31Jul 15, 20:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$31.23Jul 14, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$253.75Jul 14, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$16.14Jul 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.20Jul 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$250.00Jul 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$29.67Jul 13, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5.00Jul 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$23.62Jul 13, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $87.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.