Lost-Poll
0x0ba78c01cac4f9a07525c9ab2494808be9a97a8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$338.70
Total PnL
$-3.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 14?
323 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$322.88
$0.32
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.60 in May?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.95
$-0.04
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.42
$0.07
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?
6 shares @ 98.9¢·now 71.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.37
$-1.69
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 88.8¢·now 49.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.08
$-1.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 14?$322.58May 13, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?$312.62May 13, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?$312.33May 8, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?$319.99May 7, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 in May?$4.99May 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?$6.06May 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$4.36May 5, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?$319.10May 3, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$3.86May 2, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$0.00May 2, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$4.13May 2, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$0.00May 2, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in April?$5.75May 2, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in April?$0.00May 2, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?$6.58May 2, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 2, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 30?$306.91May 2, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 30?$0.00May 2, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 30?$306.62Apr 29, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?$306.61Apr 28, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $214.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".