Coordinated-Try
0x0bbfc7f1f2b7b72cc876df2a972cc5e285a83809
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-215.30
Realised
$-10.14
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
291 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paige Loud be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
66 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
56 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
51 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.42Jul 2, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$0.34Jul 2, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.63Jul 2, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$0.60Jul 2, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?$0.30Jul 2, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?$0.98Jul 2, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.76Jul 2, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$0.81Jul 2, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? $1.30Jul 2, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$1.59Jul 2, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02Jul 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.71Jul 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$4.34Jul 2, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$4.12Jul 2, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$2.99Jul 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$4.09Jul 2, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?$4.31Jul 2, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.87Jul 2, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.11Jul 2, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$7.44Jul 2, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 10:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.